Welcome back! And welcome to the FIRST 2025-26 SNOWFALL MAP! It is not much, but at least it is something! We have the best shot at our first snows of the season on Halloween Night and into Saturday morning the 1st of November. Hmmm. I remember another much bigger storm at that exact time period. It was in the 1993-94 winter. It just missed setting an amazing unbeatable snowfall record for October because it dropped 3 inches by midnight. As the calendar flipped to November, another 11 inches fell, bringing the SNOWVEMBER total to 14 inches on the afternoon of November 1st.
Just to clarify, we are not going for ANYTHING CLOSE TO THIS, THIS TIME. It’s 32 years later, almost 2 generations later. We have had some warming. We are not going for 173 inches for a season snow total. This time around it will be different.
Now that I have all of this out of the way, let me get to what is happening. Rain. There is rain everywhere as of now. It will stay everywhere around Upstate NY this afternoon, tonight and into Halloween. During the afternoon on Halloween, you notice the snow coming down from Canada as the upper level cold pool with the storm approaches. It reaches Upstate NY around sunset on Halloween, then hits most of Upstate NY, along and north of the Thruway on Halloween Night and into Saturday morning the 1st of November. During Saturday morning, the snowfall tapers off, especially in the higher elevations. By Saturday afternoon and evening it should be just mostly cloudy and cold.
But with the snowfall above the ground, and temperatures below freezing, it means the first opportunity for the snow to actually STICK! It is mainly a higher elevation thing, it will not hit the lower elevation cities. However, places like Old Forge, Lake Placid, Tupper Lake and Malone could very easily see at least a dusting to 1″ of accumulation. Only in the high peaks (above 2500″) would I expect INCHES of snow. Even here I believe it will be localized.
It should be fair through the rest of the weekend and into early next week. Then the next series of storms comes by with rain showers. There will not be the cold push to push this to an accumulation of snow. At least not yet. But we are getting closer.
I will update things tomorrow morning. We will see if my amounts go up or down. They can’t go down that much. We will see. One thing is for sure: A repeat of 1993 is not going to happen. Period. End of story!
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