It is turning brutally cold. Below zero temperatures likely tonight and tomorrow night.
It is the time of year we don’t like. When it goes from too warm to keep the snow around to too cold to want to be outside! That is how this weekend will feel. Yikes! Now this is not record territory. In fact, it is not even close. Records at this time of year range -15 to -35 so zero to -10 is a ways off of that. It is still plenty cold enough, and the coldest air seen here since two years ago. Almost to the day.
SNOW HEADING INTO CHRISTMAS EVE
The high resolution models have been zeroing in on this clipper late Monday and into the morning of Christmas Eve. It is a short 12-18 hour event. It should bring a few inches of snow. This should, for those areas that have very little snow on the ground, hopefully ensure them of a White Christmas! For those that didn’t have one in 2022, this would be the first truly White Christmas since 2018. For Upstate NY, that is a very long wait. One of the longest waits in our history.
WARMING UP AFTER CHRISTMAS
Temperatures go up around and especially after Christmas. It gets to around 5-10 degrees above normal by next weekend. With highs getting into the upper 30’s to lower 40’s, during the day, but falling below zero at night, with sunshine instead of rainfall, snowmelt will not be as fast as we had feared. However, there will be melting. And with not that much to ride on in the meantime, it will be slim pickings.
JANUARY HOPE?
The 3-4 week outlook came out yesterday. It actually has HOPE. January 4-17 has it BELOW NORMAL for Upstate NY. With pretty much everywhere being below freezing at this time of year, and below normal on top of that, we could see decent riding conditions in January as opposed to February. At least that would be nice.
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Zack and Rich Lupia
Upstate Snow
December 21, 2024
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