Welcome to MLK Day! We still have lake effect snow going on that had started on Saturday. I had figured, especially on yesterday morning’s update that there would not be a complete falloff of these localized heavy snowfalls downwind of Lake Erie and downwind of Lake Ontario. Indeed this is the case. So for the

Good morning! If you are looking for change from my forecast graphics, you will not find it right now in the short term. After a look at the last few short term model runs, confidence is now high on this first Lake Effect event, which should last 36 hours. Perhaps a little more. The forecast

Good morning again Upstate Snow Nation! So what the heck happened yesterday to me? My system went down. It was down for at least several hours if not more than 1/2 day. If you were looking for information during this time I am very sorry to have upset you. Once service was restored yesterday afternoon,

So we have some lake effect snow… even in January with air temps well into the 30s and above freezing! Because when the Great Lakes are still above 40 F, you don’t need as cold of air to set off lake effect. And that’s what will happen later this afternoon and into tonight. There will

We Finally Got Good Snow! Now What??? Most of Upstate NY did well with my accumulations for the Saturday Night and Sunday storm. I’m thankful that you did and a majority of the state hit my ranges. Again a few areas were more than expected and a few less, but dealing with Upstate NY, I

OK so I am ready to roll this Friday Morning with updated accumulation maps. Basically I went farther north and west with my 2-5 and 4-8 ranges as I see these numbers getting more clearance than double digits. Those numbers remain most possible from the Binghamton area, through Oneonta, the Catskills, Schoharie, The Capital Region

Chance of riding through 01.10.24 – It all depends on what that storm this weekend does. And how much we can heal the wounds of our epically poor conditions right now Chance of riding 01.11.24 through 01.17.24 – It all depends on how much warm air and wind hit how much snow we got prior

Good morning! For the first time in 16 days, I have actually created a snowfall map! YAY! It turns out a lot of the lake effect that’s hitting the City of Buffalo and points east, and also the Tug Hill, is not being picked up even on the more recent model runs. That’s not good.

Chance of riding through 1/8/24: Pretty much ZERO anywhere in Upstate NY until the Sunday 1/7/24 storm blows through. Chance of riding 1/9/24 through 1/15/24: It’s looking a whole lot better than it was days ago. Now it’s looking much better than 50/50! Good morning! We have nothing but junk right now. The good news